페이지 차례
1 요약 및 결론
0 TABLE OF CONTENTS
Ⅰ-1 Ⅰ. INTRODUCTION
Ⅱ-1 Ⅱ. CURRENT SITUATION
Ⅱ-1 A. Pecking's Proposal
Ⅱ-3 B. Taipei's Position
Ⅱ-7 C. A Changing Deadlock
Ⅲ-1 Ⅲ. POTENTIAL STRATEGIES OF PEKING
Ⅲ-1 A. Offensive Pressures
Ⅲ-5 B. Appeasing Inducements
Ⅲ-6 C. Combination of Soft and Hard Lines
Ⅳ-1 Ⅳ. CONCEIVABLE REACTIONS FROM TAIPEI
Ⅳ-1 A. Stonewall Rejection
Ⅳ-2 B. Propaganda Countermeasures
Ⅳ-2 C. Political Counteroffensives
Ⅳ-6 D. Gradual Accommodation
Ⅳ-7 E. The "Russial Card"
Ⅳ-8 F. Nuclear Deterrant
Ⅴ-1 Ⅴ. DECISIVE FACTORS FOR UNIFICATION
Ⅴ-1 A. Peking-Moscow-Taiper Triangle
Ⅴ-15 C. Issue of Orthodoxy
Ⅴ-18 D. "Taiwanization" and ROC Stability
Ⅴ-21 E. "Five Modernization" and PRC Stability
Ⅴ-24 F. Sentiment of Nationalism
Ⅵ-1 Ⅵ. POSSIBILITIES IN THE FUTURE
Ⅵ-1 A. Possible Developments of Decisive Factors
Ⅵ-3 B. Possible Ways for Unification
Ⅶ-1 Ⅶ. PROBABILITIES IN THE FUTURE
Ⅶ-1 A. Evaluation if Individual Decisive Factors
Ⅶ-18 B. Possible Ways for Unification
Ⅷ-1 Ⅷ. MOST PROBABLE DEVELOPMENTS IN COMING YEARS
Ⅷ-1 A. Most probable Factor-possibilities (1st time-frame)
Ⅷ-2 B. Most probable Way for Unification (in 1st time -frame)
Ⅷ-2 C. Most probable Factor-possibilites (in 2nd time-frame)
Ⅷ-3 D. Most probable Way for Unification (in 2nd time -frame)
Ⅷ-3 Ⅸ. CONCLUSION
