Table of Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY = Ⅶ
THE MISSILE WARFARE BALANCE = Ⅶ
THE NUCLEAR AND CBRN BALANCE = Ⅸ
THE ROLE OF CHINESE, US, AND OTHER OUTSIDE MISSILE AND NUCLEAR FORCES = Ⅹ
THE BALANCE OF US AND CHINESE MISSILE AND PRECISION STRIKE FORCES = Ⅻ
THE BALANCE OF WEAPONS OF MASS EFFECTIVENESS AND "OFFENSIVE" VS. "DEFENSIVE" WEAPONS = XV
THE BROADER BALANCE OF US AND CHINESE STRATEGIC AND THEATER NUCLEAR FORCES = XVI
US POLICY OPTIONS = XVI
Ⅶ. KOREAN MISSILE FORCES = 1
OVERVIEW OF DPRK MISSILE DEVELOPMENTS = 1
Arsenal and Capabilities = 1
DPRK MISSILE PROGRAMS = 8
The Hwasong and Toksa Programs = 8
The Nodong = 10
The Taepodong Programs = 11
The Musudan = 18
The KN-08 = 19
DPRK MISSILE FACILITIES = 22
DPRK AIR DEFENSE AND COUNTER-SPACE CAPABILITIES = 25
ROK MISSILE DEVELOPMENT = 26
The Early Program - The NHK Program = 26
The2001 MTCR and the Hyunmu-3 Cruise Missile = 27
Further Missile Limitation Agreement Revisions = 28
ROK MISSILE DEFENSE AND SPACE = 29
Missile Defense = 30
space = 32
CONCLUSIONS = 32
VIII.KOREAN WMD FORCES = 36
DPRK CHEMICAL AND BIOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS = 37
DPRK CHEMICAL WEAPONS = 38
Western Estimates of DPRK Stockpiles and Capacity = 39
Korean Estimates of DPRK Stockpiles and Capacity = 41
Guesstimates of Key Locations = 42
DPRK BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS = 48
Capabilities = 48
Facilities = 50
DPRK NUCLEAR DEVELOPMENTS = 54
Motivations for Acquisition = 54
Assessments of Capabilities: Plutonium and Uranium = 55
Nuclear Weapons and Warhead Developments = 58
Moves Toward Sanctions = 73
Key Current Issues, Weapons Design, and Further Tensions = 77
ROK and US Response = 83
Japanese Response = 85
Russian and Chinese Response = 86
Further DPRK-ROK-US Tensions = 87
Halting Operations at the ROK-DPRK Joint Industrial Complex at Kaesong = 89
De-escalation = 92
DPRK Facilities = 95
ROK CHEMICAL DEVELOPMENTS = 102
ROK BIOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS = 102
ROK NUCLEAR DEVELOPMENTS = 103
Initial Weapons Research = 103
Reprocessing and Enrichment Activities = 104
2010-2013 and the ROK Nuclear Development Debate = 105
Civilian Facilities and the 123 Agreement = 107
IX. THE BROADER BALANCE OF MISSILE, WMD, AND STRATEGIC FORCES = 114
CHINA`S EVOLVING FORCE MIX AND STRATEGY = 114
Growing Chinese Deterrent and A2AD Capabilities = 116
CHINESE CONVENTIONAL MISSILE CAPABILITIES = 119
CHINESE NUCLEAR-ARMED MISSILES = 125
Chinese Missile Defense Capabilities = 132
Chinese Counterpace Capabilities = 133
Space = 134
US MISSILE FORCES = 138
Missile Defense and Space = 140
Space = 142
NUCLEAR FORCES = 143
CHINESE NUCLEAR FORCES = 148
Chinese and US Views of China`s Nuclear Foces = 148
Chinese Biological and Chemical Weapons = 153
Role of Chinese Special Forces and Tunnel Facilities = 153
US NUCLEAR FORCES = 153
Nuclear Foces = 154
US Theater Nuclear Forces = 155
Other US Nuclear-Related Programs = 158
SM-3 IIB = 158
JAPAN = 159
Missile Defense = 159
Space = 161
RUSSIA = 164
Missile Capabilities = 165
Missile Defense = 165
Biological and Chemical Weapons = 166
ABOUT THE AUTHORS = 167
