2018년 정세 분석 및 평가 ·····································1
1. 들어가며 ···································································3
2. 2018년 남북관계의 특징 ·········································4
3. 맺으며 ····································································12
쟁점① 한반도 평화프로세스 ·································15
1. 2018년 평가 ··························································17
2. 2019년 전망 ··························································19
쟁점② 대북 제재 완화와 남북 교류협력 ·············27
1. 2018년 평가 ··························································29
2. 2019년 전망 ··························································35
쟁점③ 북한경제: 제재 영향과 발전전략 ·············47
1. 제재의 경제적 영향과 북한의 대응 ························49
2. 발전전략 평가와 개혁·개방 전망 ···························56
쟁점④ 북미 비핵화 협상 ······································67
1. 2018년 평가 ··························································69
2. 2019년 전망 ··························································74
쟁점⑤ 미중관계의 변화와 한반도 ························79
1. 2018년 평가 ··························································81
2. 2019년 전망 ··························································87
3. 미중 갈등의 한반도에 대한 영향 ···························93
